The consequence map 场景学习单

A decision promises visible benefits to one person while placing quiet and possibly irreversible burdens on others.

一个决定会给某人带来明显收益，却把安静而可能不可逆的负担加在他人身上。

DECISION-MAKER

The likely outcome helps everyone eventually, so delaying it for every possible concern would be wasteful.

最可能的结果最终会帮助所有人，因此为了每个可能担忧而推迟很浪费。

REVIEWER

A decision is not responsible merely because its best outcome is attractive.

一个决定不会只因最佳结果诱人就变得负责任。

REVIEWER

Map direct benefits, short-term burdens, second-order effects, irreversible harm, vulnerable people, unknowns, withdrawal conditions, and an independent view.

梳理直接收益、短期负担、二阶影响、不可逆伤害、弱势人群、未知项、退出条件和独立意见。

DECISION-MAKER

We will hear from the affected people, test a reversible step, and stop if the agreed warning signs appear.

我们会听取受影响者意见，测试一个可逆步骤，并在约定的预警信号出现时停止。

The decision becomes slower and more honest about who might pay for being wrong.

决策变慢了，也更诚实地说明了判断错误时可能由谁付出代价。